Downloaded from https://www.everyspec.com AMP 704.10 rooedure JM1 1. Otate prior probabtlities. 1. N({8j}1 0:005, P4•I}- 0.9IO, + •,} -0. 005. 2. Experimental result R (test A) was 2. BZ 2-tailld uoin, 3-heads, 0-tatle. Calculate NHIEl - 01 a honest coin, PII IEi} row 3 in Table 3-10. 83 w2-headed cotn, N(M I sila 1. 3. Calculate P{E IS). Use Eq. 3-38 3. P 1 I NoZ 0.000 X 0 "0 first. Pv{3 I NJ m 0.990 x (1/8) - 0. 1238 N(8I 3 IH}J 0. 0050 X 0. 00§0 Total 0.1288 Use Eq. 3-39 next. Divide by the PN-[ 1 Il N - 0/0. 1288 - 0 normalizing factor (the total). j~.{f I HI - 0. 13 8/0.1288 - 0.9612 Py(83 I NJ - 0. 0050/0. 1288 - 0. 0388 4. New expertmental result H (tost B) 4.
" I Ej} - 0 was again 3-heads, 0-tails. Cal- - (i)' " Oulahs Pr{NHIE}i row 6 in Table 3..40. Pr{HI}- 1, 5. Calculat, I H}. Use Eq. 3-38 a. Fhr{Vt I HI c 0 x 0 - 0 first. The probabilities after test H)(S, I NJ = 0. 9612 x (1/8) , 0.1202 A are new the prior probabilities for test B, PVg I}c X o0. 0388 X1. 0388 Total 0,1590 Pr{5j IH}. 0 Use Eq. 3-39 next. Divide hy the Pr{E 2 I H) - 0. 1202/0. 1590 - 0.7562 normalizing factor (the total). Pr[ a I}-0. 0388/0.1590 - 0.2441 :1 AM .d ,, gM- . .+ ,.w.-'iVl''rhV ,.V it.-.nk. 'V.).'ia .*V hiA+.IS.V.V i.,i,.S ' i.',.i *h-.dhs4~es~ &LIMl 3-40 C