___________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Year Enrolment Plan The University’s multi-year enrolment plan is a rolling five-year plan used to support the long-range budget. It is based on submissions from each academic division as reviewed and approved by the Provost. Each year the Provost issues enrolment targets to divisions for domestic and international undergraduate intake and total domestic undergraduate enrolment; any material variances to these targets at the divisional level result in year-end budget adjustments.
At the graduate level, the Provost annually reviews divisional allocations from the University’s total funded master’s and doctoral spaces, making adjustments if necessary based on past program performance and institutional priorities. The current multi-year enrolment planning horizon extends out to 2030-31, by which point the University of Toronto is forecast to have around 105,600 students in about 93,900 FTEs of activity. This represents a moderate increase of about 1,600 FTEs over the planning horizon, with the growth concentrated in graduate enrolment.
Overall undergraduate enrolment is planned to remain flat, though this masks increases planned for divisions such as the Faculty of Information and UTSC. The Faculty of Information is introducing a new four-year Bachelor of Information program in Fall 2027 that is projected to lift enrolment to more than four times its current level at its steady state. Further, continued growth is planned for the UTSC campus, where undergraduate FTEs are expected to grow by 14% over the next five years reflecting planned SAMIH expansion. The growth planned at the graduate level is largely centered around the professional and doctoral programs – with OISE and Arts & Science driving the enrolment gains.
Many divisions are actively engaged in refining and enhancing their strategic enrolment management systems for planning and forecasting. This reflects the growing complexity and diversity of applications, programs, student supports, and budget administration, and is particularly important given the more challenging international recruitment market in recent years. It also corresponds to the University’s institutional focus in this area, which has led to the creation of the Vice-Provost, Strategic Enrolment Management portfolio. Domestic undergraduate enrolment is projected to move moderately lower by around 1,000 FTEs (-2%) over the next five years.
This is a result of divisions moving back to smaller cohorts that align with the University’s SMA funded levels and the larger cohorts of the last few years flow through their programs and graduate. This is evident in the divisional-level growth plans as Faculties such as Arts & Science, Applied Science and Engineering and UTM are collectively planning to have a combined 2,500 fewer domestic FTEs in 2030-31. As noted above, the Faculty of Information and UTSC are forecast to grow, with enrolment projected to increase by 217 and 1,375 FTEs respectively.
It should be noted that these enrolment plans do not include any new funded growth in STEM programming or additional growth in health science programming, which the Province has expressed interest in recently. The University continues to advocate for additional funded STEM spaces to meet strong domestic demand. The current geopolitical environment and realities of operating under the federal permit cap system has forced divisions to recalibrate undergraduate international intake plans, with most direct-entry divisions lowering their international intake targets after recording lower-than-planned intakes in recent years - bringing them back to pre-pandemic levels.
At the same time, despite undergraduate domestic intakes over the last few years being stronger-than-expected, domestic intake plans remain unchanged from last cycle in order to return to the SMA corridor funded midpoint over the plan. Preliminary undergraduate application numbers as of January 2026 suggest stronger international out-of- country applications (+20%), while domestic application numbers continue to demonstrate strong demand for our programs. International undergraduate enrolment is planned to increase by approximately 700 FTEs (+3.0%) across the University over the five-year planning horizon.
International enrolment plans have been suppressed due to a few years of missed intakes, which have Enrolment Report 2025-26 19 University of Toronto